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Tale of the Tape →
Friday, March 6, 2026
Model Prediction
Predicted
4 – 2
82%
18%
Michigan St.
Box Score
shots · special teams · xG
Minnesota
34
Shots
On Goal
35
32
Saves
31
0/2
PPPower Play
0/3
59%
FO%Faceoffs
41%
0
Blocks
0
6
PIM
Pen. Min.
4
Expected Goals · shots×0.08 + PP×0.15 + FO%×0.30 − blocks×0.02
2.90
(+0.10)
xGF
vs actual
2.92
(+0.08)
Michigan St. — Player Stats
Skaters
| Player | POS | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | S | S% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #28 Cayden Lindstrom | F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 33.3% |
| #20 Daniel Russell | F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25.0% |
| #10 Tommi Männistö | F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20.0% |
| #15 Charlie Stramel | F | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | — |
| #4 Colin Ralph | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #12 Griffin Jurecki | F | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #22 Porter Martone | F | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.0% |
| #23 Shane Vansaghi | F | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.0% |
| #13 Tiernan Shoudy | F | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.0% |
| #21 Anthony Romani | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 4 | 0.0% |
| #6 Cole Ward | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | — |
| #26 Eric Nilson | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #29 Gavin O'Connell | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #9 Matt Basgall | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #14 Matthew Lahey | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #8 Maxim Strbak | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| #11 Owen West | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #18 Ryker Lee | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.0% |
| #3 Sean Barnhill | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
Goalies
| Player | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #32 Melvin Strahl | 32 | 3 | 0.914 | 65.0 | 0 |
Minnesota — Player Stats
Skaters
| Player | POS | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | S | S% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #74 Brodie Ziemer | F | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25.0% |
| #79 Mason Moe | F | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 50.0% |
| #18 L.J. Mooney | F | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.0% |
| #7 Beckett Hendrickson | F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 33.3% |
| #72 Erik Påhlsson | F | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.0% |
| #44 Teddy Townsend | F | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | — |
| #9 August Falloon | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 0.0% |
| #22 Cal Thomas | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| #24 Finn McLaughlin | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #34 Graham Harris | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| #5 Jacob Rombach | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #27 Javon Moore | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 6 | 0.0% |
| #23 Jimmy Clark | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 2 | 0.0% |
| #19 John Mittelstadt | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #4 John Whipple | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.0% |
| #55 Leo Gruba | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #20 Luke Mittelstadt | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #15 Max Rud | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| #11 Tanner Ludtke | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
Goalies
| Player | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #30 Zach Wiese | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 1.6 | 0 |
| #31 Luca Di Pasquo | 30 | 3 | 0.909 | 63.4 | 0 |
Michigan St.
Stat
Minnesota
0.847
#3
OER
Overall
0.466
#37
1.126
#15
OE
Offense
0.920
#45
1.470
#2
DE
Defense
1.011
#31
0.992
#2
GTR
Goaltending
0.623
#31
0.479
#45
SOS
Schedule
0.587
#2
-0.019
#40
Luck
Luck
-0.121
#63
3.68
GF/G
Goals Scored
2.69
2.14
GA/G
Goals Allowed
3.47
26-9-2
Record
11-22-3