← Scores: Saturday, January 3, 2026
Tale of the Tape →
Saturday, January 3, 2026
Model Prediction
Predicted
2 – 4
✗
29%
71%
Alas. Fairbanks
Box Score
shots · special teams · xG
Providence
27
Shots
On Goal
44
43
Saves
22
2/4
PPPower Play
1/9
43%
FO%Faceoffs
57%
0
Blocks
0
30
PIM
Pen. Min.
20
Expected Goals · shots×0.08 + PP×0.15 + FO%×0.30 − blocks×0.02
2.59
(+2.41)
xGF
vs actual
3.84
(-2.84)
Alas. Fairbanks — Player Stats
Skaters
| Player | POS | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | S | S% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #18 Rylen Roersma | F | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 33.3% |
| #37 Chase Dafoe | F | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 50.0% |
| #2 Carson Reed | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #38 Hugo Marcil | D | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #6 Jhett Larson | F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 33.3% |
| #26 Nathan Rickey | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 100.0% |
| #24 Peyton Platter | F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20.0% |
| #8 Braden Birnie | F | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #28 Michael Citara | F | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #12 Adam Cardona | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| #20 Cade Ahrenholz | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #36 Davis Borozinskis | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | — |
| #9 Dean Spak | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #11 Haden Kruse | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #7 Jackson Anderson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.0% |
| #17 Mykhailo Danylov | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #4 Noah Barlage | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| #16 Trenton Penner | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | — |
| #5 William Fleet | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.0% |
Goalies
| Player | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #32 Calvin Vachon | 43 | 1 | 0.977 | 60.0 | 0 |
Providence — Player Stats
Skaters
| Player | POS | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | S | S% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #34 Logan Sawyer | F | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 4 | 25.0% |
| #21 John Mustard | F | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 2 | 5 | 0.0% |
| #29 Roger McQueen | F | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 5 | 0.0% |
| #14 Aleksi Kivioja | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| #6 Alexander Bales | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 3 | 0.0% |
| #27 Alexander Rybakov | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| #23 Andrew Centrella | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 2 | 0.0% |
| #17 Beau Jelsma | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 2 | 0.0% |
| #18 Brendan Ross | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #22 Clint Levens | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 0.0% |
| #10 Donovan McCoy | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #11 Graham Gamache | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| #9 Hudson Malinoski | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.0% |
| #16 Jonathan Fauchon | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.0% |
| #26 Julius Sumpf | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 0.0% |
| #28 Martin Masa | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| #24 Quinn Mantei | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 5 | 0.0% |
| #19 Tanner Adams | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #15 Will Elger | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 0.0% |
Goalies
| Player | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #35 Philip Svedebäck | 16 | 2 | 0.889 | 31.0 | 0 |
| #30 John Parsons | 6 | 2 | 0.750 | 24.7 | 0 |
Alas. Fairbanks
Stat
Providence
0.428
#41
OER
Overall
0.756
#9
0.907
#47
OE
Offense
1.182
#9
0.966
#38
DE
Defense
1.273
#11
0.569
#38
GTR
Goaltending
0.867
#11
0.468
#51
SOS
Schedule
0.515
#19
+0.044
#14
Luck
Luck
-0.015
#39
2.88
GF/G
Goals Scored
3.33
3.00
GA/G
Goals Allowed
2.28
14-15-3
Record
23-11-2