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Tale of the Tape →
Friday, January 16, 2026
Model Prediction
Predicted
5 – 2
✓
86%
14%
Michigan
Box Score
shots · special teams · xG
Minnesota
52
Shots
On Goal
18
17
Saves
47
1/4
PPPower Play
1/3
61%
FO%Faceoffs
39%
0
Blocks
0
6
PIM
Pen. Min.
8
Expected Goals · shots×0.08 + PP×0.15 + FO%×0.30 − blocks×0.02
4.49
(+0.51)
xGF
vs actual
1.71
(-0.71)
Michigan — Player Stats
Skaters
| Player | POS | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | S | S% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #19 Michael Hage | F | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20.0% |
| #13 T.J. Hughes | F | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25.0% |
| #18 Jayden Perron | F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16.7% |
| #9 Nicholas Moldenhauer | F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 50.0% |
| #5 Tyler Duke | D | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 33.3% |
| #92 Adam Valentini | F | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.0% |
| #4 Asher Barnett | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.0% |
| #11 Cole McKinney | F | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.0% |
| #10 Drew Schock | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.0% |
| #27 Malcolm Spence | F | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.0% |
| #44 William Horcoff | F | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #16 Aidan Park | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #21 Ben Robertson | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.0% |
| #7 Dakoda Rhéaume-Mullen | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.0% |
| #17 Garrett Schifsky | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.0% |
| #6 Josh Eernisse | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.0% |
| #22 Kason Muscutt | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| #33 Kienan Draper | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| #63 Luca Fantilli | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.0% |
Goalies
| Player | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #31 Stephen Peck | 17 | 1 | 0.944 | 59.6 | 0 |
Minnesota — Player Stats
Skaters
| Player | POS | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | S | S% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #11 Tanner Ludtke | F | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 50.0% |
| #18 L.J. Mooney | F | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 0.0% |
| #20 Luke Mittelstadt | D | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 2 | 0.0% |
| #9 August Falloon | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| #33 Axel Begley | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| #7 Beckett Hendrickson | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0.0% |
| #74 Brodie Ziemer | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #17 Brody Lamb | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #22 Cal Thomas | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #24 Finn McLaughlin | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| #5 Jacob Rombach | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| #27 Javon Moore | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| #23 Jimmy Clark | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #19 John Mittelstadt | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 2 | 0.0% |
| #4 John Whipple | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | — |
| #55 Leo Gruba | D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0 | — |
| #79 Mason Moe | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 2 | 0.0% |
| #3 Tate Pritchard | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.0% |
| #44 Teddy Townsend | F | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0 | — |
Goalies
| Player | SV | GA | SV% | TOI | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #31 Luca Di Pasquo | 47 | 5 | 0.904 | 60.0 | 0 |
Michigan
Stat
Minnesota
0.902
#1
OER
Overall
0.466
#37
1.449
#1
OE
Offense
0.920
#45
1.315
#8
DE
Defense
1.011
#31
0.897
#8
GTR
Goaltending
0.623
#31
0.510
#21
SOS
Schedule
0.587
#2
-0.002
#35
Luck
Luck
-0.121
#63
4.53
GF/G
Goals Scored
2.69
2.40
GA/G
Goals Allowed
3.47
31-8-1
Record
11-22-3