MATCHUP SIMULATOR
Select two teams to simulate a head-to-head matchup
4–3
Projected
57%
43%
0.429
OER
0.418
0.998
OE
1.065
0.914
DE
0.862
0.498
GTR
0.420
0.483
SOS
0.559
+0.10
LUCK
-0.03
Analysis
The numbers call this a true toss-up — Arizona St. ranks #42 nationally vs. #40 for Air Force, so expect a competitive game.
Schedule context: Arizona St. has faced tougher competition (SOS #4) than Air Force (SOS #41).
Air Force's record has been bolstered by good fortune — their underlying efficiency ranks #40 nationally.
@
Robert Morris
#49
2–5
L
@
Robert Morris
#49
1–4
L
@
Robert Morris
#49
3–2
W
@
Bentley
#19
2–0
W
@
Bentley
#19
3–2
W
vs
Army West Point
#36
0–0 (SO)
T
vs
Army West Point
#36
3–4
L
vs
Mercyhurst
#60
5–4
W
vs
Mercyhurst
#60
3–3 (SO)
T
@
Niagara
#51
2–4
L
@
Denver
#2
1–4
L
@
Denver
#2
2–5
L
vs
Omaha
#43
6–3
W
vs
Omaha
#43
2–4
L
@
Western Mich.
#7
2–7
L
@
Western Mich.
#7
2–6
L
vs
St. Cloud St.
#30
3–4
L
vs
St. Cloud St.
#30
1–4
L
@
Colorado Col.
#25
1–4
L
@
Colorado Col.
#25
6–5 (OT)
W
Series History · Air Force 0–1–0 Arizona St.
@
Jan 3, 2026
2–5
L