MATCHUP SIMULATOR
Select two teams to simulate a head-to-head matchup
4–3
Projected
57%
43%
0.428
OER
0.418
0.907
OE
1.065
0.966
DE
0.862
0.569
GTR
0.420
0.468
SOS
0.559
+0.04
LUCK
-0.03
Analysis
The numbers call this a true toss-up — Arizona St. ranks #42 nationally vs. #41 for Alas. Fairbanks, so expect a competitive game.
Offensively, Arizona St. has the upper hand (OE #23 vs. #47).
Schedule context: Arizona St. has faced tougher competition (SOS #4) than Alas. Fairbanks (SOS #51).
vs
Stonehill
#58
4–4 (SO)
T
vs
Alas. Anchorage
#63
5–1
W
vs
Alas. Anchorage
#63
2–0
W
@
Alas. Anchorage
#63
6–2
W
@
Alas. Anchorage
#63
4–3
W
@
Alas. Anchorage
#63
2–3 (OT)
L
@
Alas. Anchorage
#63
4–1
W
vs
LIU
#52
5–1
W
vs
LIU
#52
5–1
W
vs
Lindenwood
#48
4–7
L
@
Denver
#2
1–4
L
@
Denver
#2
2–5
L
vs
Omaha
#43
6–3
W
vs
Omaha
#43
2–4
L
@
Western Mich.
#7
2–7
L
@
Western Mich.
#7
2–6
L
vs
St. Cloud St.
#30
3–4
L
vs
St. Cloud St.
#30
1–4
L
@
Colorado Col.
#25
1–4
L
@
Colorado Col.
#25
6–5 (OT)
W
Series History · Alas. Fairbanks 0–1–0 Arizona St.
@
Oct 11, 2025
2–5
L