MATCHUP SIMULATOR
Select two teams to simulate a head-to-head matchup
4–2
Projected
80%
20%
0.706
OER
0.285
0.958
OE
0.918
1.357
DE
0.786
0.925
GTR
0.285
0.426
SOS
0.552
+0.00
LUCK
-0.09
Analysis
Augustana (SD) enters as the clear favorite — ranked #11 nationally in overall efficiency vs. #55 for Ferris St..
Augustana (SD)'s defense is elite — top-5 nationally, allowing just 2.00 goals per game.
Schedule context: Ferris St. has faced tougher competition (SOS #6) than Augustana (SD) (SOS #63).
Ferris St. (8-27-2) may be better than their record suggests — they've been unlucky relative to their #55 efficiency rating.
@
St. Thomas (MN)
#20
1–2
L
vs
Bemidji St.
#34
2–1
W
vs
Bemidji St.
#34
5–2
W
@
St. Thomas (MN)
#20
4–0
W
@
St. Thomas (MN)
#20
3–3 (SO)
T
vs
Bowling Green
#24
4–2
W
vs
Bowling Green
#24
0–1
L
@
Michigan Tech
#28
3–4
L
@
Michigan Tech
#28
2–3 (OT)
L
vs
Lake Superior St.
#54
4–1
W
@
Minnesota St.
#12
0–2
L
@
Minnesota St.
#12
2–1 (OT)
W
@
Minnesota St.
#12
1–5
L
@
Lake Superior St.
#54
2–2 (SO)
T
@
Lake Superior St.
#54
5–2
W
vs
Northern Mich.
#61
6–0
W
vs
Northern Mich.
#61
4–4 (SO)
T
@
Bemidji St.
#34
3–4 (OT)
L
@
Bemidji St.
#34
6–3
W
vs
Minnesota St.
#12
3–4
L
Series History · Augustana (SD) 3–1–0 Ferris St.
vs
Jan 17, 2026
4–3 (OT)
W
vs
Jan 16, 2026
4–0
W
@
Nov 8, 2025
0–2
L
@
Nov 7, 2025
4–2
W