MATCHUP SIMULATOR
Select two teams to simulate a head-to-head matchup
3–2
Projected
57%
43%
0.706
OER
0.603
0.958
OE
1.249
1.357
DE
0.995
0.925
GTR
0.604
0.426
SOS
0.509
+0.00
LUCK
+0.05
Analysis
Augustana (SD) (#11 OER) holds a meaningful edge overall, but St. Thomas (MN) (#20) is a credible opponent.
St. Thomas (MN) brings a top-3 offense nationally (3.45 goals/game), which will challenge any defense.
Augustana (SD)'s defense is elite — top-5 nationally, allowing just 2.00 goals per game.
St. Thomas (MN)'s potent offense (OE #3) runs into Augustana (SD)'s stingy defense (DE #5) — could be a low-scoring battle.
Schedule context: St. Thomas (MN) has faced tougher competition (SOS #23) than Augustana (SD) (SOS #63).
@
St. Thomas (MN)
#20
1–2
L
vs
Bemidji St.
#34
2–1
W
vs
Bemidji St.
#34
5–2
W
@
St. Thomas (MN)
#20
4–0
W
@
St. Thomas (MN)
#20
3–3 (SO)
T
vs
Bowling Green
#24
4–2
W
vs
Bowling Green
#24
0–1
L
@
Michigan Tech
#28
3–4
L
@
Michigan Tech
#28
2–3 (OT)
L
vs
Lake Superior St.
#54
4–1
W
@
Minnesota St.
#12
1–4
L
vs
Augustana (SD)
#11
2–1
W
vs
Lake Superior St.
#54
5–2
W
vs
Lake Superior St.
#54
4–3 (OT)
W
@
Bemidji St.
#34
2–2 (SO)
T
@
Bemidji St.
#34
1–3
L
vs
Augustana (SD)
#11
0–4
L
vs
Augustana (SD)
#11
3–3 (SO)
T
@
Bowling Green
#24
1–3
L
@
Bowling Green
#24
3–2 (OT)
W
Series History · Augustana (SD) 1–1–2 St. Thomas (MN)
@
Mar 14, 2026
1–2
L
@
Feb 21, 2026
4–0
W
@
Feb 20, 2026
3–3 (SO)
T
vs
Nov 15, 2025
4–4 (SO)
T