MATCHUP SIMULATOR
Select two teams to simulate a head-to-head matchup
2–2
Projected
43%
57%
0.588
OER
0.685
0.981
OE
0.895
1.148
DE
1.369
0.765
GTR
0.933
0.456
SOS
0.440
+0.04
LUCK
+0.01
Analysis
Minnesota St. (#12 OER) holds a meaningful edge overall, but Bowling Green (#24) is a credible opponent.
Offensively, Bowling Green has the upper hand (OE #32 vs. #49).
Minnesota St.'s defense is elite — top-4 nationally, allowing just 2.02 goals per game.
@
Michigan Tech
#28
2–3
L
@
Michigan Tech
#28
3–5
L
@
Michigan Tech
#28
4–3 (OT)
W
@
Michigan Tech
#28
1–0
W
vs
Minnesota St.
#12
1–1 (SO)
T
vs
Minnesota St.
#12
4–5
L
@
Augustana (SD)
#11
2–4
L
@
Augustana (SD)
#11
1–0
W
vs
St. Thomas (MN)
#20
3–1
W
vs
St. Thomas (MN)
#20
2–3 (OT)
L
N
Western Mich.
#7
1–3
L
vs
St. Thomas (MN)
#20
4–1
W
vs
Michigan Tech
#28
7–2
W
vs
Ferris St.
#55
2–0
W
vs
Ferris St.
#55
1–2 (OT)
L
vs
Ferris St.
#55
5–1
W
vs
Northern Mich.
#61
3–0
W
vs
Northern Mich.
#61
2–2 (SO)
T
@
Bowling Green
#24
1–1 (SO)
T
@
Bowling Green
#24
5–4
W
Series History · Bowling Green 0–1–3 Minnesota St.
vs
Feb 21, 2026
1–1 (SO)
T
vs
Feb 20, 2026
4–5
L
@
Nov 8, 2025
1–1 (SO)
T
@
Nov 7, 2025
4–4 (SO)
T