MATCHUP SIMULATOR
Select two teams to simulate a head-to-head matchup
4–2
Projected
81%
19%
0.385
OER
0.140
0.963
OE
0.624
0.879
DE
0.772
0.446
GTR
0.258
0.432
SOS
0.529
+0.11
LUCK
-0.03
Analysis
Canisius (#44 OER) holds a meaningful edge overall, but Mercyhurst (#60) is a credible opponent.
Offensively, Canisius has the upper hand (OE #37 vs. #61).
Schedule context: Mercyhurst has faced tougher competition (SOS #13) than Canisius (SOS #61).
Canisius's record has been bolstered by good fortune — their underlying efficiency ranks #44 nationally.
vs
Mercyhurst
#60
2–5
L
vs
Niagara
#51
5–1
W
@
Niagara
#51
2–3
L
vs
Robert Morris
#49
7–0
W
vs
Robert Morris
#49
1–4
L
vs
Holy Cross
#38
5–3
W
vs
Holy Cross
#38
3–4
L
@
Robert Morris
#49
4–6
L
@
Robert Morris
#49
0–1
L
@
Niagara
#51
4–3 (OT)
W
@
Bentley
#19
0–6
L
@
Bentley
#19
3–4
L
@
Canisius
#44
5–2
W
vs
Robert Morris
#49
1–4
L
@
Robert Morris
#49
3–5
L
@
Niagara
#51
1–3
L
vs
Niagara
#51
3–2
W
@
Air Force
#40
4–5
L
@
Air Force
#40
3–3 (SO)
T
@
Sacred Heart
#21
2–1
W
Series History · Canisius 4–1–0 Mercyhurst
vs
Mar 3, 2026
2–5
L
@
Jan 24, 2026
5–0
W
@
Jan 23, 2026
4–3
W
vs
Nov 22, 2025
5–1
W
vs
Nov 21, 2025
4–3
W