MATCHUP SIMULATOR
Select two teams to simulate a head-to-head matchup
3–3
Projected
48%
52%
0.566
OER
0.429
0.948
OE
0.998
1.138
DE
0.914
0.755
GTR
0.498
0.548
SOS
0.483
-0.10
LUCK
+0.10
Analysis
Colorado Col. (#25 OER) holds a meaningful edge overall, but Air Force (#40) is a credible opponent.
Defensively, Colorado Col. has the advantage (DE #18 vs. #42).
Schedule context: Colorado Col. has faced tougher competition (SOS #8) than Air Force (SOS #41).
Air Force's record has been bolstered by good fortune — their underlying efficiency ranks #40 nationally.
Colorado Col. (13-17-6) may be better than their record suggests — they've been unlucky relative to their #25 efficiency rating.
@
Western Mich.
#7
1–2 (OT)
L
@
Western Mich.
#7
2–5
L
@
Minn. Duluth
#10
2–2 (SO)
T
@
Minn. Duluth
#10
4–1
W
vs
Western Mich.
#7
0–2
L
vs
Western Mich.
#7
1–1 (SO)
T
@
St. Cloud St.
#30
4–1
W
@
St. Cloud St.
#30
5–6 (OT)
L
@
Denver
#2
1–4
L
vs
Denver
#2
2–2 (SO)
T
@
Robert Morris
#49
2–5
L
@
Robert Morris
#49
1–4
L
@
Robert Morris
#49
3–2
W
@
Bentley
#19
2–0
W
@
Bentley
#19
3–2
W
vs
Army West Point
#36
0–0 (SO)
T
vs
Army West Point
#36
3–4
L
vs
Mercyhurst
#60
5–4
W
vs
Mercyhurst
#60
3–3 (SO)
T
@
Niagara
#51
2–4
L
Series History · Colorado Col. 1–0–0 Air Force
@
Oct 11, 2025
4–2
W