Denver enters as the clear favorite — ranked #2 nationally in overall efficiency vs. #40 for Air Force.
Offensively, Denver has the upper hand (OE #7 vs. #29).
Denver's defense is elite — top-1 nationally, allowing just 2.09 goals per game.
Schedule context: Denver has faced tougher competition (SOS #16) than Air Force (SOS #41).
Air Force's record has been bolstered by good fortune — their underlying efficiency ranks #40 nationally.