MATCHUP SIMULATOR
Select two teams to simulate a head-to-head matchup
2–4
Projected
20%
80%
0.285
OER
0.685
0.918
OE
0.895
0.786
DE
1.369
0.285
GTR
0.933
0.552
SOS
0.440
-0.09
LUCK
+0.01
Analysis
Minnesota St. enters as the clear favorite — ranked #12 nationally in overall efficiency vs. #55 for Ferris St..
Minnesota St.'s defense is elite — top-4 nationally, allowing just 2.02 goals per game.
Schedule context: Ferris St. has faced tougher competition (SOS #6) than Minnesota St. (SOS #59).
Ferris St. (8-27-2) may be better than their record suggests — they've been unlucky relative to their #55 efficiency rating.
@
Minnesota St.
#12
0–2
L
@
Minnesota St.
#12
2–1 (OT)
W
@
Minnesota St.
#12
1–5
L
@
Lake Superior St.
#54
2–2 (SO)
T
@
Lake Superior St.
#54
5–2
W
vs
Northern Mich.
#61
6–0
W
vs
Northern Mich.
#61
4–4 (SO)
T
@
Bemidji St.
#34
3–4 (OT)
L
@
Bemidji St.
#34
6–3
W
vs
Minnesota St.
#12
3–4
L
N
Western Mich.
#7
1–3
L
vs
St. Thomas (MN)
#20
4–1
W
vs
Michigan Tech
#28
7–2
W
vs
Ferris St.
#55
2–0
W
vs
Ferris St.
#55
1–2 (OT)
L
vs
Ferris St.
#55
5–1
W
vs
Northern Mich.
#61
3–0
W
vs
Northern Mich.
#61
2–2 (SO)
T
@
Bowling Green
#24
1–1 (SO)
T
@
Bowling Green
#24
5–4
W
Series History · Ferris St. 2–5–0 Minnesota St.
@
Mar 8, 2026
0–2
L
@
Mar 7, 2026
2–1 (OT)
W
@
Mar 6, 2026
1–5
L
vs
Jan 31, 2026
3–4
L
vs
Jan 30, 2026
1–6
L
@
Dec 6, 2025
4–1
W
@
Dec 5, 2025
1–5
L