MATCHUP SIMULATOR
Select two teams to simulate a head-to-head matchup
2–4
Projected
18%
82%
0.140
OER
0.429
0.624
OE
0.998
0.772
DE
0.914
0.258
GTR
0.498
0.529
SOS
0.483
-0.03
LUCK
+0.10
Analysis
Air Force enters as the clear favorite — ranked #40 nationally in overall efficiency vs. #60 for Mercyhurst.
Offensively, Air Force has the upper hand (OE #29 vs. #61).
Defensively, Air Force has the advantage (DE #42 vs. #59).
Schedule context: Mercyhurst has faced tougher competition (SOS #13) than Air Force (SOS #41).
Air Force's record has been bolstered by good fortune — their underlying efficiency ranks #40 nationally.
@
Bentley
#19
0–6
L
@
Bentley
#19
3–4
L
@
Canisius
#44
5–2
W
vs
Robert Morris
#49
1–4
L
@
Robert Morris
#49
3–5
L
@
Niagara
#51
1–3
L
vs
Niagara
#51
3–2
W
@
Air Force
#40
4–5
L
@
Air Force
#40
3–3 (SO)
T
@
Sacred Heart
#21
2–1
W
@
Robert Morris
#49
2–5
L
@
Robert Morris
#49
1–4
L
@
Robert Morris
#49
3–2
W
@
Bentley
#19
2–0
W
@
Bentley
#19
3–2
W
vs
Army West Point
#36
0–0 (SO)
T
vs
Army West Point
#36
3–4
L
vs
Mercyhurst
#60
5–4
W
vs
Mercyhurst
#60
3–3 (SO)
T
@
Niagara
#51
2–4
L
Series History · Mercyhurst 0–1–1 Air Force
@
Feb 14, 2026
4–5
L
@
Feb 13, 2026
3–3 (SO)
T