MATCHUP SIMULATOR
Select two teams to simulate a head-to-head matchup
3–3
Projected
52%
48%
0.902
OER
0.847
1.449
OE
1.126
1.315
DE
1.470
0.897
GTR
0.992
0.510
SOS
0.479
-0.00
LUCK
-0.02
Analysis
The numbers call this a true toss-up — Michigan St. ranks #3 nationally vs. #1 for Michigan, so expect a competitive game.
Michigan brings a top-1 offense nationally (4.53 goals/game), which will challenge any defense.
Michigan St.'s defense is elite — top-2 nationally, allowing just 2.14 goals per game.
Michigan's high-powered offense (OE #1) will be tested by Michigan St.'s lockdown defense (DE #2).
N
Denver
#2
3–4 (OT)
L
N
Minn. Duluth
#10
4–3
W
N
Bentley
#19
5–1
W
vs
Ohio St.
#35
7–3
W
vs
Penn St.
#22
5–2
W
vs
Notre Dame
#50
6–1
W
vs
Minnesota
#37
4–2
W
vs
Minnesota
#37
2–4
L
@
Wisconsin
#14
3–1
W
@
Wisconsin
#14
1–4
L
N
Wisconsin
#14
3–4 (OT)
L
N
UConn
#13
2–1
W
vs
Ohio St.
#35
2–3 (OT)
L
@
Minnesota
#37
3–3 (SO)
T
@
Minnesota
#37
7–1
W
vs
Ohio St.
#35
3–3 (SO)
T
vs
Ohio St.
#35
1–5
L
vs
Notre Dame
#50
8–2
W
vs
Notre Dame
#50
4–2
W
vs
Michigan
#1
5–2
W
Series History · Michigan 2–2–0 Michigan St.
@
Feb 7, 2026
2–5
L
vs
Feb 6, 2026
4–3 (OT)
W
vs
Dec 6, 2025
1–3
L
@
Dec 5, 2025
3–0
W