MATCHUP SIMULATOR
Select two teams to simulate a head-to-head matchup
3–3
Projected
43%
57%
0.847
OER
0.902
1.126
OE
1.449
1.470
DE
1.315
0.992
GTR
0.897
0.479
SOS
0.510
-0.02
LUCK
-0.00
Analysis
The numbers call this a true toss-up — Michigan ranks #1 nationally vs. #3 for Michigan St., so expect a competitive game.
Michigan brings a top-1 offense nationally (4.53 goals/game), which will challenge any defense.
Michigan St.'s defense is elite — top-2 nationally, allowing just 2.14 goals per game.
Michigan's potent offense (OE #1) runs into Michigan St.'s stingy defense (DE #2) — could be a low-scoring battle.
N
Wisconsin
#14
3–4 (OT)
L
N
UConn
#13
2–1
W
vs
Ohio St.
#35
2–3 (OT)
L
@
Minnesota
#37
3–3 (SO)
T
@
Minnesota
#37
7–1
W
vs
Ohio St.
#35
3–3 (SO)
T
vs
Ohio St.
#35
1–5
L
vs
Notre Dame
#50
8–2
W
vs
Notre Dame
#50
4–2
W
vs
Michigan
#1
5–2
W
N
Denver
#2
3–4 (OT)
L
N
Minn. Duluth
#10
4–3
W
N
Bentley
#19
5–1
W
vs
Ohio St.
#35
7–3
W
vs
Penn St.
#22
5–2
W
vs
Notre Dame
#50
6–1
W
vs
Minnesota
#37
4–2
W
vs
Minnesota
#37
2–4
L
@
Wisconsin
#14
3–1
W
@
Wisconsin
#14
1–4
L
Series History · Michigan St. 2–2–0 Michigan
vs
Feb 7, 2026
5–2
W
@
Feb 6, 2026
3–4 (OT)
L
@
Dec 6, 2025
3–1
W
vs
Dec 5, 2025
0–3
L