MATCHUP SIMULATOR
Select two teams to simulate a head-to-head matchup
5–1
Projected
93%
7%
0.847
OER
0.117
1.126
OE
0.612
1.470
DE
0.753
0.992
GTR
0.218
0.479
SOS
0.531
-0.02
LUCK
-0.09
Analysis
Michigan St. enters as the clear favorite — ranked #3 nationally in overall efficiency vs. #61 for Northern Mich..
Offensively, Michigan St. has the upper hand (OE #15 vs. #62).
Michigan St.'s defense is elite — top-2 nationally, allowing just 2.14 goals per game.
Schedule context: Northern Mich. has faced tougher competition (SOS #11) than Michigan St. (SOS #45).
Northern Mich. (3-29-2) may be better than their record suggests — they've been unlucky relative to their #61 efficiency rating.
N
Wisconsin
#14
3–4 (OT)
L
N
UConn
#13
2–1
W
vs
Ohio St.
#35
2–3 (OT)
L
@
Minnesota
#37
3–3 (SO)
T
@
Minnesota
#37
7–1
W
vs
Ohio St.
#35
3–3 (SO)
T
vs
Ohio St.
#35
1–5
L
vs
Notre Dame
#50
8–2
W
vs
Notre Dame
#50
4–2
W
vs
Michigan
#1
5–2
W
@
Minnesota St.
#12
0–3
L
@
Minnesota St.
#12
2–2 (SO)
T
vs
Lake Superior St.
#54
2–5
L
vs
Lake Superior St.
#54
5–7
L
@
Ferris St.
#55
0–6
L
@
Ferris St.
#55
4–4 (SO)
T
vs
Bemidji St.
#34
1–7
L
vs
Bemidji St.
#34
2–0
W
@
Michigan Tech
#28
3–2
W
vs
Michigan Tech
#28
2–8
L
Series History · Michigan St. 2–0–0 Northern Mich.
@
Oct 25, 2025
6–2
W
@
Oct 24, 2025
4–0
W