MATCHUP SIMULATOR
Select two teams to simulate a head-to-head matchup
5–2
Projected
87%
13%
0.847
OER
0.342
1.126
OE
0.940
1.470
DE
0.839
0.992
GTR
0.381
0.479
SOS
0.568
-0.02
LUCK
-0.07
Analysis
Michigan St. enters as the clear favorite — ranked #3 nationally in overall efficiency vs. #50 for Notre Dame.
Offensively, Michigan St. has the upper hand (OE #15 vs. #40).
Michigan St.'s defense is elite — top-2 nationally, allowing just 2.14 goals per game.
Schedule context: Notre Dame has faced tougher competition (SOS #3) than Michigan St. (SOS #45).
N
Wisconsin
#14
3–4 (OT)
L
N
UConn
#13
2–1
W
vs
Ohio St.
#35
2–3 (OT)
L
@
Minnesota
#37
3–3 (SO)
T
@
Minnesota
#37
7–1
W
vs
Ohio St.
#35
3–3 (SO)
T
vs
Ohio St.
#35
1–5
L
vs
Notre Dame
#50
8–2
W
vs
Notre Dame
#50
4–2
W
vs
Michigan
#1
5–2
W
@
Michigan
#1
1–6
L
@
Ohio St.
#35
4–3 (OT)
W
@
Ohio St.
#35
5–4 (OT)
W
vs
Penn St.
#22
4–3 (OT)
W
vs
Penn St.
#22
3–3 (SO)
T
@
Michigan St.
#3
2–8
L
@
Michigan St.
#3
2–4
L
vs
Minnesota
#37
3–2
W
vs
Minnesota
#37
2–2 (SO)
T
@
Wisconsin
#14
4–5
L
Series History · Michigan St. 4–0–0 Notre Dame
vs
Feb 20, 2026
8–2
W
vs
Feb 19, 2026
4–2
W
@
Nov 15, 2025
3–1
W
@
Nov 14, 2025
4–1
W