MATCHUP SIMULATOR
Select two teams to simulate a head-to-head matchup
4–3
Projected
64%
36%
0.847
OER
0.659
1.126
OE
1.190
1.470
DE
1.113
0.992
GTR
0.732
0.479
SOS
0.530
-0.02
LUCK
+0.03
Analysis
Michigan St. (#3 OER) holds a meaningful edge overall, but Wisconsin (#14) is a credible opponent.
Michigan St.'s defense is elite — top-2 nationally, allowing just 2.14 goals per game.
Wisconsin's potent offense (OE #8) runs into Michigan St.'s stingy defense (DE #2) — could be a low-scoring battle.
Schedule context: Wisconsin has faced tougher competition (SOS #12) than Michigan St. (SOS #45).
N
Wisconsin
#14
3–4 (OT)
L
N
UConn
#13
2–1
W
vs
Ohio St.
#35
2–3 (OT)
L
@
Minnesota
#37
3–3 (SO)
T
@
Minnesota
#37
7–1
W
vs
Ohio St.
#35
3–3 (SO)
T
vs
Ohio St.
#35
1–5
L
vs
Notre Dame
#50
8–2
W
vs
Notre Dame
#50
4–2
W
vs
Michigan
#1
5–2
W
N
Denver
#2
1–2
L
N
North Dakota
#4
2–1
W
N
Michigan St.
#3
4–3 (OT)
W
N
Dartmouth
#8
5–1
W
vs
Ohio St.
#35
1–7
L
@
Penn St.
#22
5–2
W
@
Penn St.
#22
7–3
W
vs
Michigan
#1
1–3
L
vs
Michigan
#1
4–1
W
@
Ohio St.
#35
2–3
L
Series History · Michigan St. 2–3–0 Wisconsin
N
Mar 28, 2026
3–4 (OT)
L
@
Jan 16, 2026
4–1
W
@
Jan 15, 2026
4–3
W
vs
Nov 22, 2025
1–2 (OT)
L
vs
Nov 21, 2025
4–5
L