MATCHUP SIMULATOR
Select two teams to simulate a head-to-head matchup
3–3
Projected
47%
53%
0.529
OER
0.603
1.083
OE
1.249
0.996
DE
0.995
0.606
GTR
0.604
0.450
SOS
0.509
+0.11
LUCK
+0.05
Analysis
St. Thomas (MN) (#20 OER) holds a meaningful edge overall, but Michigan Tech (#28) is a credible opponent.
St. Thomas (MN) brings a top-3 offense nationally (3.45 goals/game), which will challenge any defense.
Schedule context: St. Thomas (MN) has faced tougher competition (SOS #23) than Michigan Tech (SOS #56).
Michigan Tech's record has been bolstered by good fortune — their underlying efficiency ranks #28 nationally.
@
Minnesota St.
#12
2–7
L
vs
Bowling Green
#24
3–2
W
vs
Bowling Green
#24
5–3
W
vs
Bowling Green
#24
3–4 (OT)
L
vs
Bowling Green
#24
0–1
L
@
Lake Superior St.
#54
5–4 (OT)
W
@
Lake Superior St.
#54
2–2 (SO)
T
vs
Augustana (SD)
#11
4–3
W
vs
Augustana (SD)
#11
3–2 (OT)
W
@
St. Thomas (MN)
#20
4–3
W
@
Minnesota St.
#12
1–4
L
vs
Augustana (SD)
#11
2–1
W
vs
Lake Superior St.
#54
5–2
W
vs
Lake Superior St.
#54
4–3 (OT)
W
@
Bemidji St.
#34
2–2 (SO)
T
@
Bemidji St.
#34
1–3
L
vs
Augustana (SD)
#11
0–4
L
vs
Augustana (SD)
#11
3–3 (SO)
T
@
Bowling Green
#24
1–3
L
@
Bowling Green
#24
3–2 (OT)
W
Series History · Michigan Tech 1–2–1 St. Thomas (MN)
@
Jan 31, 2026
4–3
W
@
Jan 30, 2026
2–4
L
vs
Nov 29, 2025
1–2
L
vs
Nov 28, 2025
3–3 (SO)
T