MATCHUP SIMULATOR
Select two teams to simulate a head-to-head matchup
2–5
Projected
16%
84%
0.466
OER
0.817
0.920
OE
1.242
1.011
DE
1.329
0.623
GTR
0.906
0.587
SOS
0.485
-0.12
LUCK
+0.01
Analysis
North Dakota enters as the clear favorite — ranked #4 nationally in overall efficiency vs. #37 for Minnesota.
North Dakota brings a top-5 offense nationally (3.77 goals/game), which will challenge any defense.
Defensively, North Dakota has the advantage (DE #6 vs. #31).
Schedule context: Minnesota has faced tougher competition (SOS #2) than North Dakota (SOS #40).
Minnesota (11-22-3) may be better than their record suggests — they've been unlucky relative to their #37 efficiency rating.
@
Penn St.
#22
2–6
L
vs
Michigan St.
#3
3–3 (SO)
T
vs
Michigan St.
#3
1–7
L
@
Michigan
#1
2–4
L
@
Michigan
#1
4–2
W
@
Notre Dame
#50
2–3
L
@
Notre Dame
#50
2–2 (SO)
T
vs
Ohio St.
#35
1–2
L
vs
Ohio St.
#35
2–6
L
vs
Wisconsin
#14
8–4
W
N
Wisconsin
#14
1–2
L
N
Quinnipiac
#5
5–0
W
N
Merrimack
#27
3–0
W
vs
Minn. Duluth
#10
1–5
L
vs
Omaha
#43
5–1
W
vs
Omaha
#43
5–3
W
@
Western Mich.
#7
3–4 (OT)
L
@
Western Mich.
#7
5–3
W
vs
St. Cloud St.
#30
6–4
W
vs
St. Cloud St.
#30
4–4 (SO)
T
Series History · Minnesota 1–1–0 North Dakota
@
Oct 18, 2025
5–1
W
@
Oct 17, 2025
2–5
L