MATCHUP SIMULATOR
Select two teams to simulate a head-to-head matchup
3–5
Projected
27%
73%
0.466
OER
0.599
0.920
OE
1.182
1.011
DE
1.031
0.623
GTR
0.646
0.587
SOS
0.513
-0.12
LUCK
+0.03
Analysis
Penn St. (#22 OER) holds a meaningful edge overall, but Minnesota (#37) is a credible opponent.
Offensively, Penn St. has the upper hand (OE #9 vs. #45).
Minnesota (11-22-3) may be better than their record suggests — they've been unlucky relative to their #37 efficiency rating.
@
Penn St.
#22
2–6
L
vs
Michigan St.
#3
3–3 (SO)
T
vs
Michigan St.
#3
1–7
L
@
Michigan
#1
2–4
L
@
Michigan
#1
4–2
W
@
Notre Dame
#50
2–3
L
@
Notre Dame
#50
2–2 (SO)
T
vs
Ohio St.
#35
1–2
L
vs
Ohio St.
#35
2–6
L
vs
Wisconsin
#14
8–4
W
N
Minn. Duluth
#10
1–3
L
@
Michigan
#1
2–5
L
vs
Minnesota
#37
6–2
W
vs
Wisconsin
#14
2–5
L
vs
Wisconsin
#14
3–7
L
@
Notre Dame
#50
3–4 (OT)
L
@
Notre Dame
#50
3–3 (SO)
T
vs
Ohio St.
#35
5–4 (OT)
W
vs
Ohio St.
#35
11–4
W
@
Michigan
#1
3–6
L
Series History · Minnesota 1–4–0 Penn St.
@
Mar 11, 2026
2–6
L
@
Jan 10, 2026
2–5
L
@
Jan 9, 2026
0–3
L
vs
Nov 22, 2025
1–2
L
vs
Nov 21, 2025
3–2
W