MATCHUP SIMULATOR
Select two teams to simulate a head-to-head matchup
3–2
Projected
74%
26%
0.685
OER
0.412
0.895
OE
1.022
1.369
DE
0.880
0.933
GTR
0.447
0.440
SOS
0.589
+0.01
LUCK
-0.10
Analysis
Minnesota St. enters as the clear favorite — ranked #12 nationally in overall efficiency vs. #43 for Omaha.
Offensively, Omaha has the upper hand (OE #28 vs. #49).
Minnesota St.'s defense is elite — top-4 nationally, allowing just 2.02 goals per game.
Schedule context: Omaha has faced tougher competition (SOS #1) than Minnesota St. (SOS #59).
Omaha (12-24-0) may be better than their record suggests — they've been unlucky relative to their #43 efficiency rating.
N
Western Mich.
#7
1–3
L
vs
St. Thomas (MN)
#20
4–1
W
vs
Michigan Tech
#28
7–2
W
vs
Ferris St.
#55
2–0
W
vs
Ferris St.
#55
1–2 (OT)
L
vs
Ferris St.
#55
5–1
W
vs
Northern Mich.
#61
3–0
W
vs
Northern Mich.
#61
2–2 (SO)
T
@
Bowling Green
#24
1–1 (SO)
T
@
Bowling Green
#24
5–4
W
@
North Dakota
#4
1–5
L
@
North Dakota
#4
3–5
L
vs
Miami (OH)
#31
2–4
L
vs
Miami (OH)
#31
5–3
W
@
Arizona St.
#42
3–6
L
@
Arizona St.
#42
4–2
W
vs
Denver
#2
1–3
L
vs
Denver
#2
2–5
L
@
Western Mich.
#7
4–1
W
@
Western Mich.
#7
2–5
L
Series History · Minnesota St. 1–1–0 Omaha
@
Oct 11, 2025
4–1
W
@
Oct 10, 2025
2–6
L