MATCHUP SIMULATOR
Select two teams to simulate a head-to-head matchup
3–2
Projected
70%
30%
0.685
OER
0.368
0.895
OE
0.924
1.369
DE
0.879
0.933
GTR
0.447
0.440
SOS
0.519
+0.01
LUCK
-0.02
Analysis
Minnesota St. enters as the clear favorite — ranked #12 nationally in overall efficiency vs. #47 for UMass Lowell.
Minnesota St.'s defense is elite — top-4 nationally, allowing just 2.02 goals per game.
Schedule context: UMass Lowell has faced tougher competition (SOS #18) than Minnesota St. (SOS #59).
N
Western Mich.
#7
1–3
L
vs
St. Thomas (MN)
#20
4–1
W
vs
Michigan Tech
#28
7–2
W
vs
Ferris St.
#55
2–0
W
vs
Ferris St.
#55
1–2 (OT)
L
vs
Ferris St.
#55
5–1
W
vs
Northern Mich.
#61
3–0
W
vs
Northern Mich.
#61
2–2 (SO)
T
@
Bowling Green
#24
1–1 (SO)
T
@
Bowling Green
#24
5–4
W
@
Merrimack
#27
3–5
L
vs
Boston U.
#32
4–3
W
@
Merrimack
#27
3–5
L
vs
Northeastern
#26
2–8
L
vs
Northeastern
#26
0–2
L
@
Vermont
#56
5–2
W
@
Vermont
#56
4–2
W
@
Massachusetts
#17
2–5
L
vs
Massachusetts
#17
3–1
W
vs
Massachusetts
#17
4–6
L
Series History · Minnesota St. 0–1–0 UMass Lowell
@
Jan 2, 2026
1–3
L