MATCHUP SIMULATOR
Select two teams to simulate a head-to-head matchup
2–3
Projected
45%
55%
0.685
OER
0.788
0.895
OE
1.248
1.369
DE
1.276
0.933
GTR
0.869
0.440
SOS
0.523
+0.01
LUCK
-0.00
Analysis
The numbers call this a true toss-up — Western Mich. ranks #7 nationally vs. #12 for Minnesota St., so expect a competitive game.
Western Mich. brings a top-4 offense nationally (3.59 goals/game), which will challenge any defense.
Minnesota St.'s defense is elite — top-4 nationally, allowing just 2.02 goals per game.
Western Mich.'s potent offense (OE #4) runs into Minnesota St.'s stingy defense (DE #4) — could be a low-scoring battle.
Schedule context: Western Mich. has faced tougher competition (SOS #17) than Minnesota St. (SOS #59).
N
Western Mich.
#7
1–3
L
vs
St. Thomas (MN)
#20
4–1
W
vs
Michigan Tech
#28
7–2
W
vs
Ferris St.
#55
2–0
W
vs
Ferris St.
#55
1–2 (OT)
L
vs
Ferris St.
#55
5–1
W
vs
Northern Mich.
#61
3–0
W
vs
Northern Mich.
#61
2–2 (SO)
T
@
Bowling Green
#24
1–1 (SO)
T
@
Bowling Green
#24
5–4
W
N
Denver
#2
2–6
L
N
Minnesota St.
#12
3–1
W
@
Denver
#2
1–2 (OT)
L
vs
Colorado Col.
#25
2–1 (OT)
W
vs
Colorado Col.
#25
5–2
W
vs
North Dakota
#4
4–3 (OT)
W
vs
North Dakota
#4
3–5
L
@
Colorado Col.
#25
2–0
W
@
Colorado Col.
#25
1–1 (SO)
T
vs
Arizona St.
#42
7–2
W
Series History · Minnesota St. 0–1–0 Western Mich.
N
Mar 27, 2026
1–3
L