MATCHUP SIMULATOR
Select two teams to simulate a head-to-head matchup
3–3
Projected
53%
47%
0.685
OER
0.659
0.895
OE
1.190
1.369
DE
1.113
0.933
GTR
0.732
0.440
SOS
0.530
+0.01
LUCK
+0.03
Analysis
The numbers call this a true toss-up — Wisconsin ranks #14 nationally vs. #12 for Minnesota St., so expect a competitive game.
Offensively, Wisconsin has the upper hand (OE #8 vs. #49).
Minnesota St.'s defense is elite — top-4 nationally, allowing just 2.02 goals per game.
Wisconsin's potent offense (OE #8) runs into Minnesota St.'s stingy defense (DE #4) — could be a low-scoring battle.
Schedule context: Wisconsin has faced tougher competition (SOS #12) than Minnesota St. (SOS #59).
N
Western Mich.
#7
1–3
L
vs
St. Thomas (MN)
#20
4–1
W
vs
Michigan Tech
#28
7–2
W
vs
Ferris St.
#55
2–0
W
vs
Ferris St.
#55
1–2 (OT)
L
vs
Ferris St.
#55
5–1
W
vs
Northern Mich.
#61
3–0
W
vs
Northern Mich.
#61
2–2 (SO)
T
@
Bowling Green
#24
1–1 (SO)
T
@
Bowling Green
#24
5–4
W
N
Denver
#2
1–2
L
N
North Dakota
#4
2–1
W
N
Michigan St.
#3
4–3 (OT)
W
N
Dartmouth
#8
5–1
W
vs
Ohio St.
#35
1–7
L
@
Penn St.
#22
5–2
W
@
Penn St.
#22
7–3
W
vs
Michigan
#1
1–3
L
vs
Michigan
#1
4–1
W
@
Ohio St.
#35
2–3
L
Series History · Minnesota St. 0–0–2 Wisconsin
@
Oct 17, 2025
2–2 (SO)
T
@
Oct 16, 2025
1–1 (SO)
T