Bowling Green enters as the clear favorite — ranked #24 nationally in overall efficiency vs. #61 for Northern Mich..
Offensively, Bowling Green has the upper hand (OE #32 vs. #62).
Defensively, Bowling Green has the advantage (DE #17 vs. #61).
Schedule context: Northern Mich. has faced tougher competition (SOS #11) than Bowling Green (SOS #54).
Northern Mich. (3-29-2) may be better than their record suggests — they've been unlucky relative to their #61 efficiency rating.