MATCHUP SIMULATOR
Select two teams to simulate a head-to-head matchup
2–4
Projected
11%
89%
0.117
OER
0.529
0.612
OE
1.083
0.753
DE
0.996
0.218
GTR
0.606
0.531
SOS
0.450
-0.09
LUCK
+0.11
Analysis
Michigan Tech enters as the clear favorite — ranked #28 nationally in overall efficiency vs. #61 for Northern Mich..
Offensively, Michigan Tech has the upper hand (OE #19 vs. #62).
Defensively, Michigan Tech has the advantage (DE #34 vs. #61).
Schedule context: Northern Mich. has faced tougher competition (SOS #11) than Michigan Tech (SOS #56).
Michigan Tech's record has been bolstered by good fortune — their underlying efficiency ranks #28 nationally.
Northern Mich. (3-29-2) may be better than their record suggests — they've been unlucky relative to their #61 efficiency rating.
@
Minnesota St.
#12
0–3
L
@
Minnesota St.
#12
2–2 (SO)
T
vs
Lake Superior St.
#54
2–5
L
vs
Lake Superior St.
#54
5–7
L
@
Ferris St.
#55
0–6
L
@
Ferris St.
#55
4–4 (SO)
T
vs
Bemidji St.
#34
1–7
L
vs
Bemidji St.
#34
2–0
W
@
Michigan Tech
#28
3–2
W
vs
Michigan Tech
#28
2–8
L
@
Minnesota St.
#12
2–7
L
vs
Bowling Green
#24
3–2
W
vs
Bowling Green
#24
5–3
W
vs
Bowling Green
#24
3–4 (OT)
L
vs
Bowling Green
#24
0–1
L
@
Lake Superior St.
#54
5–4 (OT)
W
@
Lake Superior St.
#54
2–2 (SO)
T
vs
Augustana (SD)
#11
4–3
W
vs
Augustana (SD)
#11
3–2 (OT)
W
@
St. Thomas (MN)
#20
4–3
W
Series History · Northern Mich. 1–3–0 Michigan Tech
@
Jan 24, 2026
3–2
W
vs
Jan 23, 2026
2–8
L
vs
Nov 8, 2025
2–4
L
@
Nov 7, 2025
1–4
L