MATCHUP SIMULATOR
Select two teams to simulate a head-to-head matchup
2–5
Projected
11%
89%
0.342
OER
0.847
0.940
OE
1.126
0.839
DE
1.470
0.381
GTR
0.992
0.568
SOS
0.479
-0.07
LUCK
-0.02
Analysis
Michigan St. enters as the clear favorite — ranked #3 nationally in overall efficiency vs. #50 for Notre Dame.
Offensively, Michigan St. has the upper hand (OE #15 vs. #40).
Michigan St.'s defense is elite — top-2 nationally, allowing just 2.14 goals per game.
Schedule context: Notre Dame has faced tougher competition (SOS #3) than Michigan St. (SOS #45).
@
Michigan
#1
1–6
L
@
Ohio St.
#35
4–3 (OT)
W
@
Ohio St.
#35
5–4 (OT)
W
vs
Penn St.
#22
4–3 (OT)
W
vs
Penn St.
#22
3–3 (SO)
T
@
Michigan St.
#3
2–8
L
@
Michigan St.
#3
2–4
L
vs
Minnesota
#37
3–2
W
vs
Minnesota
#37
2–2 (SO)
T
@
Wisconsin
#14
4–5
L
N
Wisconsin
#14
3–4 (OT)
L
N
UConn
#13
2–1
W
vs
Ohio St.
#35
2–3 (OT)
L
@
Minnesota
#37
3–3 (SO)
T
@
Minnesota
#37
7–1
W
vs
Ohio St.
#35
3–3 (SO)
T
vs
Ohio St.
#35
1–5
L
vs
Notre Dame
#50
8–2
W
vs
Notre Dame
#50
4–2
W
vs
Michigan
#1
5–2
W
Series History · Notre Dame 0–4–0 Michigan St.
@
Feb 20, 2026
2–8
L
@
Feb 19, 2026
2–4
L
vs
Nov 15, 2025
1–3
L
vs
Nov 14, 2025
1–4
L