MATCHUP SIMULATOR
Select two teams to simulate a head-to-head matchup
3–5
Projected
21%
79%
0.342
OER
0.599
0.940
OE
1.182
0.839
DE
1.031
0.381
GTR
0.646
0.568
SOS
0.513
-0.07
LUCK
+0.03
Analysis
Penn St. enters as the clear favorite — ranked #22 nationally in overall efficiency vs. #50 for Notre Dame.
Offensively, Penn St. has the upper hand (OE #9 vs. #40).
Defensively, Penn St. has the advantage (DE #25 vs. #53).
@
Michigan
#1
1–6
L
@
Ohio St.
#35
4–3 (OT)
W
@
Ohio St.
#35
5–4 (OT)
W
vs
Penn St.
#22
4–3 (OT)
W
vs
Penn St.
#22
3–3 (SO)
T
@
Michigan St.
#3
2–8
L
@
Michigan St.
#3
2–4
L
vs
Minnesota
#37
3–2
W
vs
Minnesota
#37
2–2 (SO)
T
@
Wisconsin
#14
4–5
L
N
Minn. Duluth
#10
1–3
L
@
Michigan
#1
2–5
L
vs
Minnesota
#37
6–2
W
vs
Wisconsin
#14
2–5
L
vs
Wisconsin
#14
3–7
L
@
Notre Dame
#50
3–4 (OT)
L
@
Notre Dame
#50
3–3 (SO)
T
vs
Ohio St.
#35
5–4 (OT)
W
vs
Ohio St.
#35
11–4
W
@
Michigan
#1
3–6
L
Series History · Notre Dame 1–2–1 Penn St.
vs
Feb 28, 2026
4–3 (OT)
W
vs
Feb 27, 2026
3–3 (SO)
T
@
Jan 17, 2026
3–6
L
@
Jan 16, 2026
1–4
L