MATCHUP SIMULATOR
Select two teams to simulate a head-to-head matchup
3–3
Projected
57%
43%
0.756
OER
0.603
1.182
OE
1.249
1.273
DE
0.995
0.867
GTR
0.604
0.515
SOS
0.509
-0.02
LUCK
+0.05
Analysis
Providence (#9 OER) holds a meaningful edge overall, but St. Thomas (MN) (#20) is a credible opponent.
St. Thomas (MN) brings a top-3 offense nationally (3.45 goals/game), which will challenge any defense.
Defensively, Providence has the advantage (DE #11 vs. #35).
St. Thomas (MN)'s potent offense (OE #3) runs into Providence's stingy defense (DE #11) — could be a low-scoring battle.
N
Quinnipiac
#5
2–5
L
vs
Merrimack
#27
2–3 (OT)
L
vs
UConn
#13
3–1
W
@
New Hampshire
#45
3–2
W
vs
New Hampshire
#45
0–1
L
@
Vermont
#56
5–3
W
@
Vermont
#56
5–2
W
vs
Northeastern
#26
4–1
W
vs
Northeastern
#26
2–4
L
vs
Vermont
#56
6–1
W
@
Minnesota St.
#12
1–4
L
vs
Augustana (SD)
#11
2–1
W
vs
Lake Superior St.
#54
5–2
W
vs
Lake Superior St.
#54
4–3 (OT)
W
@
Bemidji St.
#34
2–2 (SO)
T
@
Bemidji St.
#34
1–3
L
vs
Augustana (SD)
#11
0–4
L
vs
Augustana (SD)
#11
3–3 (SO)
T
@
Bowling Green
#24
1–3
L
@
Bowling Green
#24
3–2 (OT)
W
Series History · Providence 1–0–1 St. Thomas (MN)
@
Oct 25, 2025
7–4
W
@
Oct 24, 2025
2–2 (SO)
T