MATCHUP SIMULATOR
Select two teams to simulate a head-to-head matchup
3–3
Projected
47%
53%
0.603
OER
0.588
1.249
OE
0.981
0.995
DE
1.148
0.604
GTR
0.765
0.509
SOS
0.456
+0.05
LUCK
+0.04
Analysis
The numbers call this a true toss-up — Bowling Green ranks #24 nationally vs. #20 for St. Thomas (MN), so expect a competitive game.
St. Thomas (MN) brings a top-3 offense nationally (3.45 goals/game), which will challenge any defense.
Defensively, Bowling Green has the advantage (DE #17 vs. #35).
Schedule context: St. Thomas (MN) has faced tougher competition (SOS #23) than Bowling Green (SOS #54).
@
Minnesota St.
#12
1–4
L
vs
Augustana (SD)
#11
2–1
W
vs
Lake Superior St.
#54
5–2
W
vs
Lake Superior St.
#54
4–3 (OT)
W
@
Bemidji St.
#34
2–2 (SO)
T
@
Bemidji St.
#34
1–3
L
vs
Augustana (SD)
#11
0–4
L
vs
Augustana (SD)
#11
3–3 (SO)
T
@
Bowling Green
#24
1–3
L
@
Bowling Green
#24
3–2 (OT)
W
@
Michigan Tech
#28
2–3
L
@
Michigan Tech
#28
3–5
L
@
Michigan Tech
#28
4–3 (OT)
W
@
Michigan Tech
#28
1–0
W
vs
Minnesota St.
#12
1–1 (SO)
T
vs
Minnesota St.
#12
4–5
L
@
Augustana (SD)
#11
2–4
L
@
Augustana (SD)
#11
1–0
W
vs
St. Thomas (MN)
#20
3–1
W
vs
St. Thomas (MN)
#20
2–3 (OT)
L
Series History · St. Thomas (MN) 2–2–0 Bowling Green
@
Feb 7, 2026
1–3
L
@
Feb 6, 2026
3–2 (OT)
W
vs
Nov 22, 2025
6–2
W
vs
Nov 21, 2025
2–3 (OT)
L