MATCHUP SIMULATOR
Select two teams to simulate a head-to-head matchup
2–3
Projected
35%
65%
0.671
OER
0.847
1.067
OE
1.126
1.219
DE
1.470
0.825
GTR
0.992
0.503
SOS
0.479
-0.03
LUCK
-0.02
Analysis
Michigan St. (#3 OER) holds a meaningful edge overall, but UConn (#13) is a credible opponent.
Michigan St.'s defense is elite — top-2 nationally, allowing just 2.14 goals per game.
N
Michigan St.
#3
1–2
L
vs
Merrimack
#27
1–2
L
vs
Boston College
#15
4–3 (OT)
W
vs
Boston U.
#32
5–3
W
@
Providence
#9
1–3
L
vs
New Hampshire
#45
4–1
W
@
Massachusetts
#17
3–3 (SO)
T
vs
Massachusetts
#17
1–5
L
vs
Boston College
#15
1–2 (OT)
L
@
Boston College
#15
2–5
L
N
Wisconsin
#14
3–4 (OT)
L
N
UConn
#13
2–1
W
vs
Ohio St.
#35
2–3 (OT)
L
@
Minnesota
#37
3–3 (SO)
T
@
Minnesota
#37
7–1
W
vs
Ohio St.
#35
3–3 (SO)
T
vs
Ohio St.
#35
1–5
L
vs
Notre Dame
#50
8–2
W
vs
Notre Dame
#50
4–2
W
vs
Michigan
#1
5–2
W
Series History · UConn 0–1–0 Michigan St.
N
Mar 26, 2026
1–2
L