MATCHUP SIMULATOR
Select two teams to simulate a head-to-head matchup
2–4
Projected
21%
79%
0.277
OER
0.685
0.873
OE
0.895
0.799
DE
1.369
0.310
GTR
0.933
0.504
SOS
0.440
-0.05
LUCK
+0.01
Analysis
Minnesota St. enters as the clear favorite — ranked #12 nationally in overall efficiency vs. #57 for Yale.
Minnesota St.'s defense is elite — top-4 nationally, allowing just 2.02 goals per game.
Schedule context: Yale has faced tougher competition (SOS #29) than Minnesota St. (SOS #59).
@
Colgate
#46
2–3
L
vs
Rensselaer
#53
2–4
L
vs
Union (NY)
#18
4–5 (OT)
L
@
St. Lawrence
#62
2–5
L
@
Clarkson
#29
1–4
L
vs
Harvard
#33
3–2 (OT)
W
vs
Dartmouth
#8
4–4 (SO)
T
@
Quinnipiac
#5
0–8
L
@
Princeton
#23
1–3
L
vs
Colgate
#46
3–6
L
N
Western Mich.
#7
1–3
L
vs
St. Thomas (MN)
#20
4–1
W
vs
Michigan Tech
#28
7–2
W
vs
Ferris St.
#55
2–0
W
vs
Ferris St.
#55
1–2 (OT)
L
vs
Ferris St.
#55
5–1
W
vs
Northern Mich.
#61
3–0
W
vs
Northern Mich.
#61
2–2 (SO)
T
@
Bowling Green
#24
1–1 (SO)
T
@
Bowling Green
#24
5–4
W
Series History · Yale 0–1–0 Minnesota St.
@
Jan 3, 2026
3–4
L